As Bucks County goes, so goes the country?
A new poll from the Democratic firm Upswing Research & Strategy showed Democrats moving ahead on the swing county based on President Donald Trump’s fading popularity, Politico reported.
That poll found 53 percent of Bucks County voters have an unfavorable view of Trump; 42 percent favor him.
While Republicans lead Democrats in voter registration in Bucks, a poll conducted at the behest of the Democratic PAC Bucks United indicates that voters prefer Democrats.
The poll showed voters preferred Democrat Joe Khan to Republican incumbent District Attorney Jennifer Schorn for D.A. 49 to 43 percent, while eight percent of likely voters were undecided. It showed Democrat Danny Ceisler ahead of incumbent Republican Sheriff Fred Harran 48 percent to 43 percent, with 9 percent undecided.
Meanwhile, those polled deemed Gov. Josh Shapiro (D), who was a former Montgomery County commissioner and also served as state attorney general, favorably, and 27 percent disapproved. Shapiro’s first term ends in January 2027, and while he has not officially declared he’s running again, it’s widely assumed that he is.
Treasurer Stacy Garrity is seeking the Republican nomination for governor in 2026.
“Pennsylvanians overwhelmingly elected President Trump on Nov. 5 because they’re tired of failed Democratic leadership and rising costs,” Garrity told DVJournal. “Voters want real change: safer communities, a stronger economy, and leadership that puts America first. Despite partisan polls, I believe Pennsylvania is ready to turn the corner, and with the right message and vision, I will lead that change.”
Bucks County Republican Chair Pat Poprik believes the poll is bogus.
“The same people who said President Trump could never win are now predicting doom for Republicans in Bucks County. They were wrong then and they are wrong now,” said Poprik.
“Voters here will not side with Joe Khan and Danny Ceisler’s dangerous catch-and-release approach to justice. These are the same failed policies that led to the murder of Iryna Zarutska in Charlotte this week where the suspect was arrested 14 times prior and released without bail for another crime.
“Bucks County residents want safe communities and our laws enforced, not soft-on-crime policies. Our Republican team, from district attorney to sheriff, along with our judicial candidates and county row officers, is strong and ready to win this year.”
But Muhlenberg College political science Professor Christopher Borick believes the poll is valid, saying it aligns “with the broader national political environment.”
“Public opinion in Bucks County often mirrors broader national views, and in this poll, President Trump’s approval numbers are almost identical with national averages,” said Borick. “If the midterms follow historical cycles and the president’s job approval numbers don’t improve next year, 2026 is likely to be a tough year for the GOP nationally and in a consummate swing area like Bucks County.”
The poll of 501 likely voters was done Aug. 5 to 10. It has a 4.4 point margin of error.